The supercomputer pronounces its sentence: Spain, very favorite in the round of 16… and second to win the tournament
La UEFA Euro 2024 group phrase put its final touch this Wednesday with the resolution of Group E matches. Portugal, Turkey and Georgia were the last to confirm their presence in the knockout round of the round of 16 in which they meet the 16 best of the Old Continent. The big goal: Berlin. July 14.
But until then a total of 14 matches that start this Saturday (Switzerland-Italy and Germany-Denmark) about which there are already beginning to be all kinds of predictions and bets. One side of the painting is clearly stronger and another, a priori, weaker, on which the focus is placed. Opta Supervisor, which has already given its verdicts for each tie with its classic percentages. Thus, until the grand final.
Focusing on the Spanish selectionthis tool thinks that the guys from Luis de la Fuente son those who have the most options of all the 16 to confirm their presence in the quarterfinals. And 82,13% which contrasts with that of Georgiaits rival, and the one that would have the least chance of passing with only one 17,87%.
Las The next ones with the greatest chances of moving on to the quarterfinals according to Opta are England (81.63%)which is measured at Slovakia; Portugal (74,51%)which is measured at Sloveniay Germany (69.48%)whose rival will be Denmark. Focusing, for example, on the current champion, Italiawe found a very even duel against Swiss with a 56,96% of chances for those of Shoulders and a 43,04% for those of Certain.
Rulo Fuentes’ Eleven of the First Phase of the Euro Cup
How does Opta’s supercomputer work?
This statistical model uses betting market odds and Opta Power Rankings, which is based on historical and recent team performances. The computer simulates the matches thousands of times. After analysis, see how often each team ranks to determine the final prediction.
OPTA PREDICTIONS IN THE EURO ROUND OF THE EIGHTH
- Spain – Georgia | 82.12% – 17.87%
- England – Slovakia | 81.63% – 18.37%
- Portugal – Slovenia | 74.51% – 25.49%
- Germany – Denmark | 69.48% – 30.52%
- France – Belgium | 67.91% – 32.09%
- Netherlands – Romania | 67.79% – 32.21%
- Austria – Türkiye | 57.65% – 42.35%
- Italy – Switzerland | 56.96% – 43.04%
England-Spain would be the grand final
Once the round of 16 is over, a selection stands out outstandingly on the Supercomputer to reach the big Berlin event on the 14th and, therefore, repeat the final for the second consecutive edition. We talk about Englandyes, who despite having left very poor feelings in the group stage, would have a 38.10% chance of being in the grand final. A very high percentage that is largely explained by the side of the painting where it goes
Your opponent in this match would be Spainwho is given a 27,14% of options to play again in the final round of this championship 12 years later. La Roja would have a 45.25% to be in the semi-finals and, later, 27.14% to be in the German capital against Gareth Soutgate’s team. Both, of course, They are the ones with the best chance of lifting the title, with 19.98% for the English and 17.17% for the Spanish.
MARCA macro survey: which teams will advance to the quarterfinals?
After seeing the data and predictions offered by Opta’s supercomputer, at MARCA we invite you to vote in our polls and get “wet” with the teams that you think will have a place in the quarterfinals.
